Market Condition: range bound, slightly bullish.

Schaeffersresearch.com: “Our takeaway is that this is a market that has the proper sentiment backdrop for a major V-bottom, but the technical backdrop is not as supportive. So, in the absence of a catalyst, the pressure to unwind bearish bets or move from the sidelines is not as great.”

ChartAdvisor.com: “The bottom line is that the environment is still quite dangerous and traders should be ready for any scenario, including a second leg down.”

VIX: 

My take: the market is in a range bound trading which actually is a perfect setup for covered calls.  The high VIX environment may seem scary, but actually is also good for option sellers (high volatility usually is correlated with higher options premiums or, in other words, high time values).  As we are closer to the bottom of the trading range, I intend to go a bit bullish in my approach.  For example, my NFLX options expired as of Friday.  So now I am net long NFLX.  With NFLX shares close to a near term bottom, I will wait for NFLX price to recover a bit before I sell more options against them.

The current Trading Range:

SP500: ~1140 – 1230

DJI: ~11,000 – 11,700

NASD: ~2480 – 2600

About admin

Richard Cheng, M.D., Ph.D., is an avid Wall Street investor with 20+ years of investing experience. He is specially adept at observing the world to find the patterns and then design strategies to win his battle. Most, if not all, happenings in the world, follow certain patterns. These patterns may be complex, multi-factorial, not so intuitive at the first glance, or even may appear chaotic. However, even chaos has its own patterns. If you pay attention and be patient, you'll find them and then you will gain an upper hand in your battle. Using this blog space, he documents his trades and his thoughts as they happen. He uses this blog as a a notebook to help him better refine his strategies. Hopefully this will help you as well. Good luck in your trading.
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